Egypt vs. IR Iran - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Egypt and IR Iran face off in a pivotal FIFA World Cup group-stage match tonight in Seattle, with the contest kicking off at 11:00 PM ET on 26 June 2026. The on-chain contract for the "Exact Score" market currently trades at a 16% implied probability for the "YES" outcome, reflecting the market’s cautious stance on a specific result emerging from what the Opta supercomputer views as a tight, low-scoring affair where a draw is the next most likely result at 31.3% [1].

Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup group games with similar defensive profiles have resolved to "Any Other Score" in over 70% of cases, as the volatility of a single goal often disrupts precise predictions. In Egypt’s last five matches against Iran, they won two and lost one, averaging just 1.2 points per game, while Iran’s recent World Cup outings have frequently ended in draws or narrow margins, reinforcing the difficulty of pinning down an exact final number [3].

Traders should monitor the final line-ups announced by FIFA shortly before kick-off, as any late injury to key attackers like Mo Salah could further depress goal expectations [5]. Additionally, the referee Szymon Marciniak’s tendency to enforce strict foul discipline may limit open play, a factor highlighted in recent previews noting Iran’s legendary defensive organisation against Egypt’s clinical edge [6]. The market remains open on USDC via Polygon conditional tokens, with settlement locked until the match concludes, regardless of postponement or cancellation clauses.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Egypt vs. IR Iran - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.