# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

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Market context

MrBeast's next YouTube upload will accumulate a certain number of views within its first 24 hours, and Polymarket currently prices the YES side of this contract at 22%, suggesting traders expect the video to fall short of whatever threshold brackets the market has defined. The conditional tokens settle on USDC via Polygon once YouTube's view count stabilises after the full day has elapsed, with resolution dependent on MrBeast actually posting before 30 June 2026.

Historical performance of MrBeast's uploads shows remarkable consistency at the upper end of YouTube's distribution. His recent videos regularly exceed 50 million views in the opening 24 hours, with several breaching 100 million. The 22% probability currently priced into YES suggests the market is positioning for either a notably smaller production, a scheduling gap that extends past the settlement deadline, or a significant shift in audience engagement. Comparable creators like SET India and Zee Entertainment achieve 10–30 million day-one views on major releases, whilst MrBeast's typical floor sits substantially higher, making the current odds noteworthy for their caution.

Traders monitoring this contract should track MrBeast's production schedule and any public announcements regarding upload timing. His content typically drops on Tuesdays or Thursdays, and any deviation from this pattern could affect whether a video materialises before the June deadline. Recent reports indicate MrBeast has been focusing on larger-scale productions with extended production cycles, which could influence both the timing of the next release and its initial velocity. YouTube algorithm changes and platform-wide engagement trends will also shape day-one performance independently of content quality.

Methodology

This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.