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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Live odds for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 90% Avengers: Doomsday 8% The Odyssey 1% Wicked: For Good 0% Volume: $16.4M Liquidity: $2.3M Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spider-Man: Brand New Day90%
Avengers: Doomsday8%
The Odyssey1%
Wicked: For Good0%
Wuthering Heights0%
Scream 70%
Michael0%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu0%
Toy Story 50%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0%
Dune: Messiah0%
Project Hail Mary0%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie0%
Jumanji 30%
Minions & Monsters0%
Movie D0%
Movie E0%
Movie F0%
Movie G0%
Movie H0%
Movie I0%
Movie J0%
Movie K0%
Movie L0%
Movie M0%
Movie N0%
Movie O0%
Other0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to highest grossing movie in 2026?. This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once d…

Methodology

This page reviews Highest grossing movie in 2026? across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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