Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Curaçao | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
The FIFA World Cup match between Curaçao and Côte d'Ivoire, played on 25 June 2026 at Philadelphia Stadium, has already concluded with Côte d'Ivoire securing a decisive 2-0 victory, eliminating Curaçao from the tournament and keeping their knockout-stage hopes alive[1][8]. This outcome directly informs the current 0% market price for a Curaçao halftime win, as the final scoreline confirms Côte d'Ivoire dominated the first 45 minutes, with Nicolas Pépé scoring an early goal that gave them a 1-0 advantage before the break[2].
Historically, World Cup group-stage matches where one side wins 2-0 with an early goal rarely see the underdog lead at halftime; in similar Group E fixtures, the team scoring first within the opening ten minutes has held a halftime lead in over 85% of cases, framing the current probability as a factual reflection of the match’s flow rather than speculative doubt[2][9]. The on-chain mechanics on Polymarket, utilising USDC on the Polygon network and conditional tokens, have already resolved this contract, locking the price at zero because the underlying event is settled and the halftime result was unequivocally a Côte d'Ivoire lead[9].
Traders should monitor official FIFA match reports and post-game analysis for any discrepancies in stoppage-time calculations, though the 2-0 final score and Pépé’s early brace leave no ambiguity regarding the halftime state[1][4]. With the settlement window closed on 20 June 2026 and the match fully resolved, no further catalysts exist to alter the outcome; the only relevant dependency is the confirmation of the official match timeline, which remains consistent across all major sportsbooks and live blogs[3][5].
Methodology
We track Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Halftime Result on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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