Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Egypt and IR Iran played out a dramatic 1-1 draw in their final Group G match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Seattle, with Egypt securing qualification for the round of 32 while Iran faces an anxious wait to see if they progress as a third-placed team[1][2]. On Polymarket, the contract for “Total Corners: Over 8” currently trades at a 0% probability for YES, implying the market expects fewer than eight corners in regulation time, despite the match’s high intensity and 66,925 spectators[1][5].

Historically, World Cup group-stage matches between top-tier African and Asian sides have averaged 9–11 total corners, with Egypt’s recent qualifiers yielding 7–8 corners per game and Iran’s 2022 World Cup fixtures averaging 10.2[3][8]. However, this specific encounter saw only 8–2 corners recorded at the 70-minute mark and 7–0 at 70 minutes in live stats, suggesting a tight, low-corner finish that aligns with the current 0% pricing[3][4].

Traders should monitor the official match report for final corner counts, stoppage-time adjustments, and any referee decisions affecting corner awards, as Polish referee Szymon Marciniak’s strict style can influence outcomes[7]. No new announcements or schedule changes are expected post-match, but the final settlement hinges on the official FIFA data feed, which will confirm whether the 8+ threshold was met[5]. The contract settles on 27 June 2026 at 03:00 UTC, with USDC payouts executed on Polygon via conditional tokens[5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.