Belgium vs. IR Iran - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the **conditional token** contract on Belgium v IR Iran at **4% YES** for an exact-score outcome, settled in **USDC** on **Polygon** once the final result from 90 minutes plus stoppage time is known. The market is tied to the World Cup group match in Los Angeles, with the fixture listed to kick off at **19:00 UTC** and the resolution logic excluding extra time and penalties, so only regulation-time scorelines matter.[2][3][6]

A 4% print implies traders see a precise score as a low-probability tail event rather than a broad view on who wins. That is normal for exact-score markets, where even favourites often cluster around a handful of common outcomes, while anything outside the listed score grid falls into “Any Other Score”. Comparable pre-match pricing from mainstream books also points to Belgium as the clear favourite, with CBS citing Belgium at around **-230** and ESPN showing a similar moneyline, which tends to compress exact-score probabilities towards 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, and similar narrow results rather than a wide scatter.[2][4]

For traders, the key catalysts are team sheets, late injury and rotation news, and any schedule disruption before the referee’s whistle, because those affect both the win expectation and the likely score distribution. FIFA’s live match centre confirms the fixture is in the group stage and at the stated venue, while FOX Sports’ live boxscore and ESPN’s match page are the quickest public checks for line-ups, odds movement, and in-play scoring once the game starts.[1][2][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Belgium vs. IR Iran - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.