Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 0% EDward Gaming | 100% FUT Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% EDward Gaming | 0% FUT Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% EDward Gaming | 0% FUT Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 0% FUT Esports | 100% EDward Gaming |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 100% FUT Esports | 0% EDward Gaming |
Market context
EDward Gaming and FUT Esports are scheduled to compete in the VCT Masters London Playoffs upper bracket quarterfinal on 13 June at 10:00 AM ET, with the winner advancing and the loser dropping to the lower bracket. The match is a best-of-three format. On Polymarket, conditional tokens for this outcome are currently trading at a 0% implied probability, reflecting either extreme confidence in one side or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful price discovery mechanism on the USDC/Polygon contract.
Historical precedent suggests that 0% pricing on Valorant esports matches typically signals either a data gap or a structural liquidity problem rather than genuine certainty. EDward Gaming, the CIS representative, and FUT Esports, the EMEA-based squad, have not met frequently in recent international competition, making direct head-to-head records sparse. When regional qualifiers produce unfamiliar matchups at major tournaments, early market pricing often fails to reflect the actual competitive balance, particularly when one team's recent form or roster changes remain underreported in English-language esports coverage.
Traders should monitor official VCT scheduling confirmations and any last-minute roster announcements from either organisation in the 48 hours before match time. Valorant patch updates deployed before the tournament can shift utility-dependent team strategies substantially. The settlement window closes at 20:00 UTC on 13 June, allowing roughly ten hours after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude; any technical delays or unforeseen cancellations that extend beyond seven days would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, creating tail-risk exposure for positions held through the window.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT M… on Polymarket Scam?
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Polymarket Scam? →