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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Live odds for "Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 98% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5) 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5) 90% Volume: $186K Liquidity: $379K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.598%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Winner65%
O/U 2.5 Games65%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)56%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Match Winner46%
Map Handicap: W7M (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)35%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: cloud9 vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in stands at 98% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Cloud9 and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 8:00PM ET. Th…

Methodology

We track Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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