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LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 70% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 69% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 63% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 57% Volume: $188K Liquidity: $633K Closes: 24 Jul 2026
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LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon70%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon69%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?57%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)48%
First Blood in Game 2?46%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?44%
O/U 2.5 Games42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
Game 1 Winner31%
Game 2 Winner31%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
Match Winner25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor17%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors13%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Team Vitality at **31%** to beat Karmine Corp in this best-of-three, with the contract settling in **USDC on Polygon** through conditional tokens. In practice, that means the market is not asking who is “better” in the abstract, but how likely Vitality are to win the specific LEC regular-season series before the settlement window closes.

Recent comparable results point to a fairly volatile head-to-head. Karmine Corp beat Vitality **2-1** in a prior match, while Vitality also have a more recent win in a different meeting, showing that this pairing has not been one-way traffic[3][4][1]. For traders, that tends to justify a price below parity on Vitality rather than a simple mirror of team brand strength, especially in a BO3 where map control and draft adaptation can matter more than a single-game edge.

The main catalysts are straightforward: confirmed line-ups, any last-minute schedule changes, and whether the series starts on time, because postponement or non-played outcomes can push the contract towards the market’s fallback resolution rules. Team news and official LEC broadcast updates are the highest-value inputs on match day; if either side posts roster or timing changes close to kickoff, the market can reprice quickly as liquidity on-chain reacts. Broadly, recent coverage around this rivalry still frames Karmine Corp as the stronger side on results, which helps explain why a Vitality win remains the underdog outcome at 31%[2][3][4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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