LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

UCAM Esports Club and HMBLE are scheduled to compete in a League of Legends best-of-three match within EMEA Masters Group A on 10 June at 16:00 UTC. The Polymarket contract currently reflects 100% implied probability for UCAM, suggesting traders expect the Spanish organisation to secure victory. On Polygon, this conditional token pair settles in USDC upon match completion, with the winning team's token absorbing all liquidity from the losing side's position.

Historical precedent in EMEA Masters suggests that seeding and roster stability heavily influence group-stage outcomes. UCAM has maintained consistent participation in regional competitions, whilst HMBLE's competitive trajectory has been less predictable across recent seasons. When examining comparable lower-tier regional tournaments, teams with established infrastructure typically convert favourable odds into wins approximately 75–85% of the time, though the 100% reading here indicates market participants view this matchup as heavily skewed.

Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters scheduling announcements for any postponements beyond the seven-day grace period, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Roster changes or player availability issues announced closer to the fixture date could shift expectations, particularly if either organisation announces substitutions. The settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 10 June, providing a hard deadline for match completion; any technical issues or forfeiture declarations must be resolved by this timestamp for conditional tokens to settle properly on-chain.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.