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LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5) 68% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 65% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $419K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)68%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon65%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?65%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?64%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 1?44%
First Blood in Game 2?44%
Any Player Quadra Kill29%
O/U 2.5 Games28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game 1 Winner19%
Game 2 Winner19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor18%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors15%
Match Winner12%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 68% YES probability for LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between SK Gaming and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming wi…

Methodology

We track LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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