🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogPlace a position →

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4? 74% Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5) 70% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? 61% Volume: $202K Liquidity: $422K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
Open live market →
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?74%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)70%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?61%
O/U 3.5 Games59%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?56%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?44%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?43%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)41%
Game 4 Winner36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?31%
Game 2 Winner30%
Game 3 Winner30%
Game 1 Winner28%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 4.5 Games25%
Match Winner14%

Market context

The LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 74% YES. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between G2 Esports and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 8 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitationa… on Polymarket Scam?

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →