LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Forsaken and Karmine Corp Blue face off in a League of Legends EMEA Masters Group B decider match scheduled for 12 June at 11:00 AM ET, with the conditional token contract currently trading at 0% implied probability for a Forsaken victory on Polygon. This pricing reflects either extreme confidence in Karmine Corp Blue's superiority or, more likely, minimal liquidity and trading activity on this particular matchup, which is common for regional qualifier tournaments outside the main LEC circuit.

EMEA Masters serves as a development and qualification pathway, and historical precedent suggests that teams with stronger academy infrastructure—Karmine Corp typically maintains deeper resources through their parent organisation—tend to convert group-stage advantages into wins. However, decider matches in best-of-three formats introduce volatility; a single strong draft phase or mid-game execution can shift momentum entirely. The 0% pricing may reflect traders' assessment that Forsaken enters as the underdog, but it simultaneously suggests the market lacks sufficient depth to price genuine uncertainty around a live competitive match.

Traders monitoring this contract should track any roster changes or substitutions announced before the 12 June fixture, as EMEA Masters squads occasionally rotate players between matches. Schedule confirmations from Riot's official EMEA Masters calendar remain critical, given the 7-day delay clause that would trigger a 50-50 resolution. The settlement window closes 13 June at 00:10 UTC, providing minimal buffer post-match for dispute resolution, so confirmation of final results through official broadcast channels becomes essential for accurate settlement.

Methodology

We track LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.