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LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Match Winner 61% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 61% Volume: $67K Liquidity: $918K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
79% 21% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
79% 21% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Match Winner61%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?61%
Game 1 Winner59%
Game 2 Winner59%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
Any Player Quadra Kill53%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?45%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)35%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor14%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors7%

Market context

The LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 79% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 15 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FE…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 R… on Polymarket Scam?

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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