LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Eintracht Spandau face Anubis Gaming in a League of Legends best-of-three decider match within EMEA Masters Group D on 12 June 2026. The Polymarket contract currently prices at 100% YES, meaning traders are pricing Spandau as certain to win. This extreme confidence reflects either a decisive skill gap between the squads or a structural expectation about the match's likelihood of completion within the settlement window—the contract resolves 50-50 if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without resolution, or ends in a tie.

EMEA Masters decider matches historically carry execution risk. Group-stage tiebreakers in regional competitions have occasionally been postponed due to scheduling conflicts or technical issues, though outright cancellations remain rare. The 100% pricing suggests the market has discounted cancellation risk to near-zero and is instead reflecting confidence in Spandau's competitive standing relative to Anubis. Without recent head-to-head records or current roster information publicly available, traders should verify whether either team has announced roster changes, coaching adjustments, or preparation concerns ahead of the 12 June fixture.

The settlement window closes at 22:50 UTC on 12 June, providing a tight margin for match completion. Traders holding YES positions face the specific risk that technical delays or administrative issues could trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Monitor official EMEA Masters communications and both organisations' social channels for any fixture rescheduling announcements or withdrawal notices in the days immediately preceding the match.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.