LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Eintracht Spandau face Anubis Gaming in a League of Legends best-of-three match within EMEA Masters Group D, scheduled for 10 June at 2:00PM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices this at 100% YES, meaning traders are pricing in Spandau as near-certain victors. This extreme probability reflects either decisive information asymmetry favouring the German side, or the market's struggle to price uncertainty in regional esports where team rosters and form data remain sparse compared to major leagues.

EMEA Masters functions as a secondary competitive tier beneath the LEC, drawing teams from across Europe, the Middle East and Africa. Historical precedent suggests that established organisations with consistent player retention—typically those with LEC academy infrastructure—win these matchups at high frequency. Spandau's positioning within this ecosystem, relative to Anubis's profile, appears to drive the market's confidence. However, upsets in regional League competition occur regularly when teams field unexpected roster changes or when preparation gaps narrow mid-season.

Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters scheduling announcements for any postponements beyond the 7-day grace period, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Roster confirmations released closer to match day matter substantially; if either team announces mid-season substitutions, the probability could shift materially. The settlement window closes 10 June at 22:45 UTC, leaving minimal buffer after the scheduled 2:00PM ET start, so delays in match completion or official result confirmation could affect settlement mechanics.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.