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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Live odds for "LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Match Winner 63% O/U 2.5 Games 58% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 50% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $242K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Match Winner63%
O/U 2.5 Games58%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Game 2 Winner42%
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)1%

Market context

Polymarket is pricing DN SOOPers Challengers at **38% YES** for this best-of-three, which means the market is treating Dplus KIA Challengers as the more likely winner but not an overwhelming one. On Polymarket, the contract settles in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, so the price is a direct expression of the crowd’s view on who wins the match, not on map score or series length.

The historical frame is mixed but useful: the teams have already met this season, with DN SOOPers winning **2-0** in their May match, while several match-tracking sites also note Dplus has been the stronger side across the wider head-to-head and recent results. That split helps explain why a sub-50% price for DN is not extreme; traders are balancing a prior DN upset against Dplus’s broader record and the usual volatility of Challengers League BO3s, where one draft swing or early objective fight can flip a series quickly.[1][3][9][13]

For catalysts, the main watchpoints are simple and practical: confirmation that the match starts on schedule, whether line-ups are unchanged, and whether any league-side postponement or format change appears before the 16:45 UTC settlement window closes. The listing places the game on 3 August at 6:00am ET, and market resolution depends on the series being played to a winner; if it is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or otherwise left without a result, the contract does not resolve to either team. If the live bracket or broadcast slate shifts, that can matter more to pricing than pre-match narrative because Polymarket trades the final settlement outcome, not the scoreboard story in isolation.[2][4][16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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