LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

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Active sub-markets

Market context

BOMBA Team face Anubis Gaming in a best-of-three elimination match within EMEA Masters Group D, with the fixture scheduled for 11 June at 2:00 PM ET. The 0% YES pricing on Polymarket reflects either extreme confidence in Anubis Gaming or minimal liquidity in the conditional token pair on Polygon; traders holding YES positions would need BOMBA to secure both map wins before the settlement window closes on 11 June at 21:00 UTC. The match structure itself—elimination format within a group stage—means the loser exits the competition entirely, raising stakes for both squads.

Historical precedent from EMEA Masters tournaments shows that seeding and recent form heavily influence outcomes in regional competitions where team rosters remain relatively stable across seasons. Anubis Gaming's current market dominance suggests either established tournament pedigree or recent results favourable enough to price out BOMBA entirely. However, League of Legends patch cycles and mid-season roster adjustments can shift competitive balance rapidly; the gap between 0% and even 15% YES typically reflects uncertainty about team preparation rather than absolute capability differences.

Traders should monitor official EMEA Masters announcements regarding any roster changes, schedule confirmations, or technical delays that might trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Recent competitive League broadcasts have occasionally experienced format adjustments or postponements due to technical issues. The seven-day grace period for delayed matches provides some buffer, though the tight settlement window on 11 June at 21:00 UTC leaves minimal margin if games run long or require rescheduling.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.