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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 82% Game 1 Winner 73% Game 2 Winner 72% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 65% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $460K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner82%
Game 1 Winner73%
Game 2 Winner72%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?65%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)55%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?53%
First Blood in Game 1?52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Any Player Penta Kill44%
Any Player Penta Kill44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors42%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?41%
O/U 2.5 Games39%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?24%

Market context

Anyone’s Legend face Karmine Corp in the LoL Quarterfinal 2 of the Esports World Cup Playoffs today, with the match set for 7:00 AM ET. On Polymarket, the contract pricing Anyone’s Legend as the winner sits at 73% YES, reflecting strong crowd confidence that aligns closely with Strafe’s community vote of 72.9% favouring the Chinese side [1]. This probability mirrors recent Esports World Cup group-stage trends where regional powerhouses like Gen.G dominated European entrants, as seen when Gen.G crushed Karmine Corp 1-0 in just 27 minutes during earlier rounds [2]. Historical data from similar BO3 matchups in this tournament suggests European teams struggle against top-tier Chinese squads unless they secure an early map advantage, making the current 73% implied probability a rational read rather than an overreaction.

Traders should monitor the official Esports World Cup broadcast schedule on DAZN for any pre-match delays or roster announcements, as coverage is live and free globally except in restricted regions like China and South Korea [3]. Any deviation from the 7:00 AM ET start time could trigger the market’s 7-day delay clause, resetting the outcome to 50-50 if unresolved. Additionally, watch for post-match analysis from Bo3.gg, which recently predicted Anyone’s Legend to win 2-1 against Top Esports in a qualifier, reinforcing their current form [4]. The on-chain mechanics on Polygon mean positions settle in USDC via conditional tokens, so liquidity depth and slippage near the 73% level will dictate entry efficiency for late traders.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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