Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: SB (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) | 0% summer bear | 100% Zero Tenacity |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% Zero Tenacity | 100% summer bear |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Zero Tenacity | 0% summer bear |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs summer bear (+1.5) | 0% Zero Tenacity | 100% summer bear |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Polymarket has this contract at **0% YES** for a Zero Tenacity win, so the market is effectively pricing in no chance that Zero Tenacity advance from this European Pro League lower-bracket quarter-final on current order flow. On Polymarket, buyers post USDC on Polygon into conditional tokens that resolve against the match result, so the practical question is not abstract team strength but whether the event is actually played and a winner is formally recorded before the settlement window closes.
The historical read is that **0%** on a live esports contract is often more about market inactivity than a true zero chance, especially in a best-of-three where a single map swing can change the series quickly. Comparable listings around this pairing have shown Zero Tenacity as a sizeable favourite before play, with third-party bookmakers and community odds typically putting them well ahead of summer bear, which makes an on-chain price of zero look unusually compressed rather than a clean reflection of competitive balance.[3][10] Strafe and other score trackers also list the same matchup as a completed BO3 in this tournament cycle, with Zero Tenacity winning the series 2-1 in one listing and 2-0 in another, which underlines that the teams have a recent head-to-head profile rather than an unknown matchup.[1][4][5]
For traders, the key catalysts are simple: whether the bracket fixture is confirmed, whether the start time slips, and whether the series is actually completed before the seven-day grace period baked into the market rules. Because settlement depends on the on-chain outcome being unambiguous, any postponement, abandonment, or change to the lower-bracket schedule matters as much as the in-game result itself; if the match were not completed, Polymarket’s contract language points to the non-standard resolution paths rather than a routine win/loss close. The main external signal to watch is tournament administration updates from the organiser and live-score services, since those usually surface delays or format changes before the market reprices.
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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