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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Scam?.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5) 100% Volume: $294K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Zero Tenacity has already secured a 2–0 victory over Nemiga Gaming in their EPL Masters Play-In Group B Dota 2 match, which concluded on 20 July 2026, making the 100% YES crowd-implied probability for a Zero Tenacity win a direct reflection of the completed result [1]. The market, settled on-chain via USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens, now functions as a post-event confirmation rather than a speculative bet, with the outcome locked in before the settlement window closes in 2026.

Historically, similar esports contracts on Polymarket that reach 100% probability before the settlement deadline typically resolve cleanly to the winning team, provided no cancellation or disqualification occurs—both of which are absent here given the match was fully played and decided [1]. Past cases in Dota 2 BO3 markets show that once a 2–0 or 2–1 scoreline is confirmed on official tournament trackers, conditional token holders can expect immediate resolution without the 50–50 fallback clause triggering, as the match was neither delayed beyond seven days nor abandoned mid-game.

Traders should monitor official EPL Masters announcements for any post-match rule changes or team disqualifications, though none are currently indicated [1]. The primary dependency is the tournament’s final validation of the result, which is already reflected in the public match log showing Zero Tenacity as the clear winner. With the match completed and the score confirmed, the on-chain mechanics will process the settlement automatically, transferring USDC to holders of the “Zero Tenacity” conditional token.

Sources: 1

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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