Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Xtreme Gaming face BetBoom Team in a Dota 2 best-of-one match during the BLAST Slam Group Stage, scheduled for 28 May at 6:20AM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices Xtreme Gaming's victory at 0% on the conditional token market, reflecting either extreme confidence in BetBoom or a liquidity void where no traders have yet committed USDC to establish a genuine price discovery mechanism. Settlement occurs at 16:30 UTC on 28 May, with the match outcome determining whether YES (Xtreme Gaming) or NO (BetBoom Team) tokens resolve to full value on Polygon.
BetBoom Team's recent form provides context for the market's apparent certainty. The Russian roster has demonstrated consistency in regional qualifiers and international group stages throughout 2024 and early 2025, whilst Xtreme Gaming, despite strong Chinese domestic credentials, has shown volatility against top-tier European and CIS opposition. Historical precedent from similar BLAST Slam matchups suggests that when one team carries a substantial skill gap, markets often reflect this through extreme pricing—though the 0% reading here may simply indicate insufficient trading volume rather than genuine consensus.
Traders should monitor BLAST's official schedule for any postponements or format changes, as the settlement window extends only seven days beyond the scheduled date. Recent announcements from BLAST regarding roster stability and travel logistics remain relevant; any last-minute substitutions or technical delays could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause. Team announcements on social media or esports news outlets typically emerge 24–48 hours before group stage matches, providing final confirmation of lineup and preparation status.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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