Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing Execration’s win at **0% YES** on USDC-settled conditional tokens on Polygon, which leaves the contract effectively at a dead-zero edge even though the underlying best-of-three is still the relevant settlement event. The market resolves on the match result: Execration wins, Carstensz wins, or, if the series is not completed within the stated window, it can still fall into the market’s 50-50 fallback mechanics.

The most useful frame here is that this is not a hypothetical matchup but a scheduled closed-qualifier playoff series, and comparable Dota 2 qualifier markets have tended to move hard once line-ups and start times are confirmed. Public match listings show Execration was favoured by most community predictors, with one tracker recording 73.8% of votes for Execration before the result came in 2-0 to Execration, which underlines how quickly a market can be mispriced if it is leaning entirely on stale order flow rather than the bracket and roster context.[1] Kalshi’s related pricing also showed Execration as the stronger side in a sister market for the same fixture, suggesting broader expectations were not aligned with a zero-cent Polymarket read.[2]

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: whether the series actually starts on time, whether the bracket remains intact, and whether any official delay, walkover, or reshuffle pushes the settlement outside the normal seven-day window. Live score pages and tournament listings were already carrying the fixture on 19 June, which means the key risk is less about unknown teams and more about execution, broadcast timing, and whether the result is reported cleanly enough for on-chain settlement.[3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.