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Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game Handicap: Team Jenz (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5) 100% Ends in Daytime 50% Both Teams Beat Roshan 50% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 50% Volume: $247K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Team Jenz (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: Team Jenz (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs Team Jenz (+1.5)0%

Market context

Spirit Academy lost their EPL Masters Play-In Group A Dota 2 match against Team Jenz on 20 July, with the final score settling at 0–2 in favour of Jenz. The match, originally scheduled for 12:00 PM ET, has already concluded, meaning the underlying event is complete and the outcome is fixed.

On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% YES for Spirit Academy, reflecting the confirmed result rather than speculative probability. The on-chain mechanics on Polygon use USDC and conditional tokens to lock in this resolution; since Team Jenz won the BO3, the market will resolve to “Team Jenz” with no ambiguity. Historical precedents in esports prediction markets show that once a match finishes, prices collapse to 0% or 100% within minutes, as arbitrageurs clear any mispriced shares using the official result from sources like NEXT SPORT, which recorded the 0–2 scoreline [3].

Traders should monitor the official settlement confirmation on Polymarket and cross-check with tournament organisers’ match logs to ensure no disqualification or forfeit alters the outcome. While games won by forfeit or default count toward the handicap if the match is completed, no such exception applies here given the full 2–0 result [4]. With the settlement window ending 2026-07-20T22:45:00Z—already passed—the resolution is effectively immediate, and no further catalysts like schedule changes or announcements will impact this market.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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