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Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5) 100% Volume: $120K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Dandelions (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: Nemiga (-1.5) vs Dandelions (+1.5)100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Nemiga Gaming face Dandelions in a best-of-three Dota 2 match within the EPL Masters Play-In Group B bracket, scheduled for 21 July at 03:00 ET. The Polymarket contract currently trades at 100% implied probability for Nemiga, reflecting either overwhelming confidence in their victory or minimal liquidity depth at the extremes. Settlement hinges on match completion by 28 July; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved delay beyond that window triggers a 50-50 split of conditional tokens on Polygon.

Nemiga Gaming represents a Ukrainian organisation with established competitive pedigree in regional Dota 2 circuits, whilst Dandelions' recent form and roster composition remain less documented in major English-language esports coverage. Historical precedent from similar play-in brackets suggests that 100% pricing typically reflects either a significant skill gap between competitors or information asymmetry amongst traders. EPL Masters tournaments have occasionally experienced schedule disruptions due to technical issues or player availability, though recent editions completed on schedule.

Traders monitoring this contract should track official EPL announcements regarding fixture confirmation and any roster changes closer to the scheduled date. Polygon network conditions and USDC liquidity on Polymarket itself warrant attention given the extreme pricing; any meaningful counter-position would require substantial capital to move the market. The three-day settlement window post-match allows for dispute resolution, though Polymarket's historical resolution accuracy on esports outcomes remains the operative baseline for assessing counterparty risk.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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