Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5) | 100% Inner Circle Esports | 0% Walczaki |
Market context
Walczaki face Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Playoffs Quarterfinal 2 match, a Best-of-3 LAN contest scheduled for Bucharest today at 11:00 ET. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% YES for Walczaki, reflecting a near-total market conviction that the Polish team cannot overcome their Ukrainian opponents. The price is not a guess about skill but a direct read of on-chain conditional tokens settled in USDC on the Polygon network, where liquidity has already moved decisively against Walczaki.
Historical precedent frames this 0% probability starkly. In the Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1 opener, Walczaki lost 0-2 to Inner Circle on Anubis and Dust2, with map scores of 9-13 and 5-13 respectively, before Inner Circle advanced to the Semi-Finals [1]. This prior defeat, occurring at the same Bucharest LAN venue with a $150k prize pool, suggests a consistent tactical gap that the market is pricing as insurmountable for this BO3 [5]. The 0% figure mirrors how traders treat a team that has already been eliminated by the same opponent in the same tournament cycle.
Traders must watch for immediate match-start confirmations and any official delay notices, as the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is delayed beyond seven days without a winner. The playoff stage runs from 26 to 28 June at Halo Events Center, where live audience attendance begins tomorrow [5]. A critical catalyst is the result of Walczaki’s match against Echo on 25 June, which Echo won 2-1 despite Strafe users predicting a Walczaki victory with 88.3% confidence [4]. This recent loss to Echo, combined with the prior 0-2 defeat to Inner Circle, confirms the catalysts for the current pricing: a team in a clear slump facing a dominant rival.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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