Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this semifinal as a **100% YES** outcome, which means the contract is effectively being treated as already decided in favour of TDK rather than as a live two-way contest. The market settles on Polygon in USDC through conditional tokens, so the key practical question for holders is not the map scoreline but whether the listed match is completed in a way that matches the resolution rules.

A 100% reading is usually only seen when the result is effectively locked in by the event status, not when the underlying fixture is still genuinely in doubt. Here, multiple match listings still describe TDK vs 100 Thieves as scheduled for 21 June in CCT Europe Series #4, which is the sort of setup that normally would not justify a perfectly one-sided price unless the game was already reported as underway, completed, or otherwise administratively resolved.[1][2][4] On Polymarket, that matters because cancellation, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days would push the contract to 50-50, so the price is sensitive to official bracket movement as much as to the scoreboard.

For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: bracket updates from CCT, any change to the match time, and whether the semifinal is actually played out or resolved by forfeit. Current public match pages still show the pairing and date, while live-score and streaming listings suggest the fixture is part of the active playoff slate, so the next move in the contract will likely follow event administration rather than fresh team news.[2][4][7] If the match has already started, the settlement risk shifts to completion and official winner confirmation, because Polymarket’s outcome depends on the event organiser’s final result, not on informal score updates.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.