Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

PARIVISION face Legacy in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for 13 June at 10:00 AM ET. The conditional token market on Polygon currently prices PARIVISION's victory at 39% (39 cents per YES share in USDC), implying Legacy as 61% favourites. Settlement occurs at 21:30 UTC on the scheduled date, with a seven-day grace period before the market resolves to 50-50 if no result emerges.

Legacy have established themselves as a more consistent outfit in recent Valve-sponsored majors, with deeper playoff runs across 2024–2025 events. PARIVISION's qualification to this stage suggests competitive capability, though they carry less historical data from major tournaments. Comparable BO3 matchups at this tier typically see the higher-seeded or more established roster command 55–70% implied probability; the current 61% for Legacy aligns with standard major-stage pricing for the favoured side without extreme confidence gaps.

IEM Cologne's scheduling has historically remained stable, though technical delays at previous iterations warrant monitoring. Roster changes or last-minute substitutions—particularly relevant in regional qualifiers feeding into majors—could shift match dynamics. Traders should track official ESL announcements and team social channels for any forfeit declarations or format adjustments. The seven-day resolution window creates exposure to extended delays; matches that begin but stall mid-series (server issues, player disconnections) may trigger the 50-50 clause depending on how far play progresses before stoppage.

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.