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Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $159K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs ODDIK (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-9.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%

Market context

Patins da Ferrari have already secured a 2–0 victory over ODDIK in the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, confirming the underlying event as completed. The prediction market on Polymarket, however, remains priced at 100% YES for Patins da Ferrari, reflecting the on-chain resolution logic where conditional tokens on the Polygon network settle automatically once the match result is verified. Traders holding USDC-backed positions see no volatility because the outcome is no longer uncertain; the contract has effectively locked in the winner before the settlement window closes on 20 July 2026.

Historically, similar esports markets on Polymarket resolve instantly once official match data is confirmed, with no delay for manual arbitration unless discrepancies arise in the reported scoreline. In past CCT tournaments, matches ending in 2–0 or 2–1 have triggered immediate settlement, and the 100% pricing here aligns with that precedent. The absence of any tie, cancellation, or seven-day delay risk eliminates the 50–50 fallback clause, reinforcing the certainty embedded in the current price.

Traders should monitor the official CCT South America Series 4 results page and third-party trackers like pickem.ru or bo3.gg for any post-match corrections, though none are expected. No further announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies remain relevant, as the match concluded on 19 July 2026 at 22:00 UTC. With the result confirmed across multiple sources, the market’s 100% probability is a direct reflection of completed reality, not speculative expectation.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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