Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5) | 0% TDK | 100% Team Nemesis |
| Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) | 0% TDK | 100% Team Nemesis |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs TDK (+6.5) | 0% Team Nemesis | 100% TDK |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TDK (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) | 100% TDK | 0% Team Nemesis |
Market context
Polymarket has this contract at **0% YES** right now, which means the on-chain market on Polygon is effectively pricing Team Nemesis as having no chance of winning the BO3 unless fresh information appears before the settlement window closes. The underlying event is straightforward: Team Nemesis and TDK are due to play a quarter-final in CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs, and the market resolves to the named winner if the match is completed, or to 50-50 if it is cancelled, tied, or drifts beyond the seven-day delay rule. The contract itself is settled through conditional tokens denominated in **USDC** on **Polygon**, so traders are really pricing the listed outcome, not just the headline fixture.
The current read should be compared with the teams’ recent head-to-heads rather than treated as an isolated coin toss. Strafe lists three prior meetings between Team Nemesis and TDK, with Nemesis winning two and TDK one, while BO3.gg flags Nemesis as carrying strong recent form into this match[3][5]. Even so, a 0% market can reflect liquidity, stale order flow, or a missing update as much as it reflects true conviction, particularly in smaller esports brackets where odds can swing sharply on line-up news or a schedule change. That matters here because the event is already time-sensitive and the contract’s fallback mechanics can force a 50-50 outcome if the fixture is not completed on time.
The main catalysts for traders are therefore operational rather than theoretical: confirmed start time, whether the quarter-final actually goes live, and whether either side fields the expected roster. Third-party match listings place the BO3 for 20 June at 08:00 UTC, which is consistent with the scheduled window, and live score pages are already tracking the fixture[1][2]. In practice, any late bracket reshuffle, server issue, walkover, or broadcaster notice can matter more than pre-match form because the market only resolves on the official result, not on map previews or community sentiment.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Euro… on Polymarket Scam?
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