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Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $155K Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-3.5) vs MIBR Academy (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-9.5) vs MIBR Academy (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-9.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Patins da Ferrari (-6.5) vs MIBR Academy (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR Academy (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5)0%
Map Handicap: MIBR.A (-1.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+1.5)0%

Market context

The CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage match between MIBR Academy and Patins da Ferrari, originally set for 22:00 UTC on 28 June 2026, has already concluded with Patins da Ferrari securing a 1-1 victory in the group stage, confirming the outcome as Patins da Ferrari. On Polymarket, this contract trades at 0% for the "MIBR Academy" resolution, reflecting the on-chain certainty that the team did not win the match, with USDC settlements on the Polygon network now locked via conditional tokens that enforce the final result.

Historical precedents in Counter-Strike 2 group stages show that when a team fails to win a Round 1 match in a Best of 3, the market probability for that team winning the overall fixture collapses to zero, as seen in similar Kalshi and GosuGamers markets where 0% odds were assigned post-match. In this case, the live score from 28 June confirms Patins da Ferrari won the Round 1 encounter, making any "MIBR Academy" resolution impossible and aligning with the standard on-chain mechanics that resolve such contracts immediately after the match outcome is verified.

Traders should monitor the official CCT South America tournament schedule for any potential rescheduling announcements or tie-breaker dependencies, though the match result is already finalised. Recent updates from GosuGamers confirm the live score and group stage progression, with no indication of cancellation or delay beyond the seven-day threshold that would trigger a 50-50 resolution. The settlement window ending 2026-06-29T04:00:00Z will now process the confirmed outcome, ensuring USDC payouts reflect the definitive result of Patins da Ferrari winning the match.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Scam? trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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