Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
47% | 53% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
47% | 53% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 47% TheMongolz | 53% BetBoom Team |
| Map 2 Winner | 56% TheMongolz | 45% BetBoom Team |
| Match Winner | 52% TheMongolz | 49% BetBoom Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% Over | 51% Under |
| Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | 28% TheMongolz | 72% BetBoom Team |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
TheMongolz, Mongolia's leading Counter-Strike outfit, face BetBoom Team in a Round 1 best-of-three at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on 11 June at 05:00 ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices TheMongolz victory at 47% on USDC via Polygon, implying roughly even odds despite TheMongolz holding the stronger recent record. Settlement hinges on match completion; any cancellation, tie, or delay exceeding seven days without resolution triggers a 50-50 split of conditional tokens.
TheMongolz have established themselves as a top-ten international side through 2024 and 2025, with consistent Major appearances and strong showings against tier-one opposition. BetBoom Team, the Russian roster, experienced roster upheaval following CIS sanctions and competitive restrictions, though they've maintained circuit participation through alternative pathways. Historical matchups between these sides show TheMongolz with a marginal edge, yet BetBoom's unpredictability in knockout formats—particularly their capacity to execute tactical setups on specific maps—has produced upset results. The 47% pricing reflects genuine uncertainty rather than dismissal of either side's capability.
Traders should monitor ESL's official schedule for any fixture changes or delays in the days preceding 11 June, as Major tournaments occasionally shuffle Round 1 pairings due to visa complications or technical issues. Map pool composition, released typically 48 hours before the event, will significantly influence the outcome; TheMongolz traditionally favour aggressive defaults whilst BetBoom excel on utility-heavy maps. Roster confirmations and last-minute stand-in announcements, common in post-sanctions CIS competition, represent the primary catalyst for repricing before settlement window closure at 15:00 UTC on 11 June.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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