Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% TheMongolz | 0% B8 |
| Map 2 Winner | 85% TheMongolz | 16% B8 |
| Match Winner | 94% TheMongolz | 7% B8 |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 14% Over | 86% Under |
| Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) | 90% TheMongolz | 11% B8 |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) | 0% TheMongolz | 100% B8 |
Market context
TheMongolz face B8 in a Round 2 best-of-three match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for 12 June at 05:00 ET. The Mongolian roster has established itself as a consistent top-tier competitor in recent Counter-Strike tournaments, whilst B8, the Ukrainian organisation, represents a mid-tier challenger with variable performance across LAN events. The current Polymarket pricing reflects 63% conviction in TheMongolz victory, settling USDC conditionals on Polygon at a ratio favouring the higher-seeded team. This probability sits between standard favourites in major tournament round-robin play and reflects genuine uncertainty about B8's capacity to upset.
Historical precedent from IEM events shows that seeding advantages typically hold in early rounds, though B8 has demonstrated capacity for tactical preparation against established opponents. TheMongolz' recent form includes consistent placements in top-eight finishes across ESL Pro League and similar tier-one events, whereas B8's trajectory has been more erratic—strong showings interspersed with early eliminations. The 63-37 split on Polymarket aligns with how markets price teams with established consistency against capable but less predictable challengers.
Traders should monitor official ESL scheduling confirmations and any roster changes announced before 12 June. Recent news from ESL's tournament operations has emphasised strict adherence to match schedules following previous delays at regional qualifiers. The settlement window's 7-day buffer protects against technical delays, though the early morning ET start time (05:00) introduces minor scheduling risk. Any last-minute venue or format changes would likely surface through official ESL channels 24-48 hours prior to the match.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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