Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
44% | 56% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
44% | 56% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 44% Gentle Mates | 56% ex-RUBY |
| Map 2 Winner | 57% Gentle Mates | 43% ex-RUBY |
| Match Winner | 55% Gentle Mates | 46% ex-RUBY |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% Over | 52% Under |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5) | 23% Gentle Mates | 78% ex-RUBY |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5) | 50% Gentle Mates | 50% ex-RUBY |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY at **57% YES** on the USDC, Polygon-settled contract, so the market is assigning a modest edge to Gentle Mates in this best-of-three. That sits above the live price on Polymarket’s own esports page, where ex-RUBY has been shown slightly shorter than Gentle Mates at different points, but the order of magnitude is the same: a near coin-flip with a small favourite’s premium.[1]
The historical frame points towards why the contract is not being treated as a strong one-sided bet. Gentle Mates have been described by Polymarket as the side with the better VRS Europe ranking, broader map-pool experience and more stable roster, and they came into the playoffs with a 2-0 win over KOLESIE in the same event.[1] By contrast, ex-RUBY are the lower-ranked side, which is usually where market depth and map veto strength matter most in BO3 pricing rather than raw upset narratives.[1] In this market, the conditional token settles on the match winner, while any cancellation, no-show, tie, or unresolved delay beyond seven days pushes the contract to 50-50, so traders are effectively watching for a clean result before the settlement window closes.[5]
The main catalysts are straightforward: official start time, any reschedule from the organiser, and whether both line-ups actually field the same rosters listed on tournament coverage pages. GosuGamers and Dust2.us both carried the fixture as a live June 20 playoff match, which supports the view that the event is scheduled normally rather than in doubt.[3][6] For Polymarket users, the practical risk is less about the abstract strength of either team and more about execution: pre-match lineup confirmation, map veto timing, and whether the BO3 starts and finishes inside the market’s ruleset.[1][5]
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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