Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Isurus | 100% MIBR Academy |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Isurus | 100% MIBR Academy |
| Match Winner | 0% Isurus | 100% MIBR Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5) | 0% Isurus | 100% MIBR Academy |
Market context
The Counter-Strike 2 match between Isurus and MIBR Academy, scheduled for today at 08:00 ET in the Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1, has already concluded with a 0:2 scoreline favouring MIBR Academy, rendering the "Isurus" outcome impossible [1][2]. On Polymarket, this contract is priced at 0% for Isurus to win, reflecting the on-chain reality that the conditional tokens for this outcome are now worthless given the completed result [2]. The USDC liquidity locked in this Polygon-based market has effectively settled, with no further price movement possible as the event is past the settlement window.
Historically, similar prediction markets for CS2 matches where the result is known before settlement resolve instantly to 0% or 100%, mirroring cases where live scores override pre-match odds [2]. In past Thunderpick tournaments, contracts for teams that lost 0:2 in a Best-of-3 have been liquidated to zero value within minutes of the final map, as the conditional tokens for the losing side become invalid [3]. This pattern confirms that the current 0% price is not a speculative estimate but a mechanical certainty derived from the completed match data.
Traders should monitor official tournament announcements for any potential match cancellations or delays, though the 0:2 result makes such dependencies irrelevant for this specific outcome [3]. Recent coverage from Dust2.us confirms the match statistics and final score, serving as the primary source for on-chain verification [1]. With the settlement window ending on 24 June 2026 at 22:00 UTC, the market will resolve to MIBR Academy, and no further catalysts can alter this outcome given the match is already finished [3].
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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