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Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 99% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5) 91% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-6.5) vs DENDELE CS (+6.5) 91% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $249K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games99%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)91%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-6.5) vs DENDELE CS (+6.5)91%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-12.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+12.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550%
Match Winner37%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: DENDELE CS (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)10%
Map Handicap: DENDELE CS (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: fluxo w7m vs dendele cs (bo3) - pgl masters bucharest: south american closed qualifier playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Fluxo W7M and DENDELE CS in the PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs, in…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Scam?. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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