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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5) 100% Volume: $115K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Galorys (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Galorys (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Galorys (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-9.5) vs Galorys (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs Galorys (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs Galorys (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Galorys (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)0%

Market context

The Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between BESTIA and Galorys in the Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This ma…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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