Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 65% Aurora Gaming | 36% Monte |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% Over | 55% Under |
| Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) | 37% Aurora Gaming | 64% Monte |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 51% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) | 39% Aurora Gaming | 62% Monte |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 51% Under |
Market context
Aurora Gaming face Monte in a best-of-three Round 1 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, scheduled for 11 June at 12:30PM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices Aurora Gaming's victory at 65 cents on the dollar, implying roughly two-to-one odds in their favour. Settlement depends on a clean result within seven days; cancellations, ties, or unresolved delays trigger a 50-50 split of the conditional tokens on Polygon.
Aurora Gaming have established themselves as a mid-tier competitive side in recent months, whilst Monte operate at a lower tier of professional Counter-Strike. Historical matchups between similarly ranked teams at major tournaments show that seeding and recent form matter considerably—teams favoured by 65% typically reflect genuine skill differentials rather than market noise. The current pricing aligns with Aurora's recent performances and their qualification pathway to this stage, though upsets in single-elimination formats remain structurally possible.
Traders should monitor ESL's official schedule for any fixture delays or venue changes in the days preceding 11 June, as technical issues or logistical problems have occasionally forced rescheduling at major events. Team roster confirmations and last-minute stand-ins would also shift the underlying matchup dynamics. The settlement window closes at 22:30 UTC on 11 June, giving roughly ten hours after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude before the seven-day grace period begins counting.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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