Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Scam? Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Scam? → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Scam?.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Atrix Esports | 100% shimmer |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: SHIM (-1.5) vs Atrix Esports (+1.5) | 0% shimmer | 100% Atrix Esports |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE 2026 Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 between Atrix Esports and shimmer, initially set for 23 June at 6:30 PM ET, is the real-world event underpinning this contract. On Polymarket today, the USDC-denominated position on Atrix Esports winning trades at 0% on the Polygon network, reflecting a near-total market consensus that the team will not secure victory. This pricing ignores the abstract possibility of a win and instead locks in the conditional token outcome that the market expects to resolve as "shimmer" [1].
Historically, similar 0% pricing in B-Tier Valve Tier 2 events has preceded outright cancellations or one-sided mismatches where the lower-ranked side fails to appear, as seen in previous FERJEE tournament collapses where conditional tokens resolved to the 50-50 tie clause due to non-completion [5]. In these cases, the crowd-implied probability of 0% often signals a structural dependency failure rather than a simple loss, such as a team withdrawal or scheduling conflict that prevents the match from starting [2].
Traders must monitor the official tournament schedule on rdy.gg for any announcements regarding match delays beyond the seven-day window or cancellations, which would trigger the 50-50 resolution [7]. The primary catalyst is the confirmation of the match start time, currently listed as 24 June at 00:00 UTC, and any stream links that confirm both teams are present [4]. A recent update from Liquipedia confirms the tournament is an offline Brazilian event, meaning travel dependencies or local logistics could disrupt the scheduled start [5].
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??
- Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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