What price will Bitcoin hit on June 23?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin is trading at roughly $63,872 today, with technical indicators flashing a strong bearish signal as the price remains below the 200-day exponential moving average[1]. On Polymarket, this contract currently shows a 0% implied probability for the "YES" outcome, reflecting the market’s conviction that Bitcoin will not hit the specified price target by June 23[1]. Historically, similar contracts have priced in sharp corrections when institutional ETF outflows dominate, as seen in May 2026 when whales exited ahead of the month’s end[8]. In those cases, prices dipped toward $51,846 before reversing, a pattern that frames today’s low probability as a rational bet on continued downside pressure[4].

Traders should monitor upcoming Federal Reserve announcements and the scheduled release of Q2 institutional flow data, which could trigger volatility spikes[8]. A recent Yahoo Finance report notes that Bitcoin closed May with the largest monthly ETF outflow of 2026, suggesting sustained selling pressure may persist into June[8]. Additionally, the immediate resistance at $80,000 remains unbroken, and failure to reclaim it could confirm the bearish momentum indicated by MACD and RSI metrics[2]. Conditional tokens on Polygon, settled in USDC, will execute automatically if the price threshold is breached, making on-chain liquidity depth a critical factor for settlement[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.