What price will Bitcoin hit on June 22?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this June 22 Bitcoin contract at **0% YES**, so on-chain traders using USDC on Polygon are effectively paying nothing for a settlement above the market’s threshold, with the conditional token bundle implying near-total scepticism that BTC reaches the specified level before the window closes. That matters more than the headline price target itself: the market is a direct read on where users think the spot tape can finish by the settlement time, not on where Bitcoin trades in some broader forecast sense.

Comparable price-prediction pages are still pointing to mid-2026 BTC values well below the more aggressive end of the crypto bull case. CoinCodex’s daily forecast has Bitcoin around **$64,963** for 22 June 2026, while Binance’s price-prediction page shows **$64,985.24** for the same date, both implying only modest upside from the mid-60,000s rather than a breakout move.[1][4] Other forecast sites cluster in a similar range, with 3Commas showing BTC around **$65,540** on 22 June 2026 and an average 2026 price near **$62,194**, which helps explain why a contract demanding a materially higher hit is being priced so cautiously.[3]

For traders, the key catalysts are the usual short-dated crypto drivers: ETF flow headlines, macro prints that shift dollar liquidity expectations, and any exchange or protocol-specific shock that changes spot momentum quickly. BeInCrypto noted in late May that Bitcoin was trading around **$73,469** amid the biggest monthly ETF outflow of 2026 and flagged **$73,869** as an immediate reclaim level, underscoring how quickly sentiment can flip around institutional flow data and technical breaks.[2] With settlement only a short time away, Polymarket users will be watching whether BTC can force through nearby resistance or instead keep drifting in the mid-range, because the contract’s USDC-denominated conditional tokens will only pay if the market reaches the precise strike before expiry.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.