What price will Bitcoin hit on June 21?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this Bitcoin level contract through a USDC deposit on Polygon, with conditional tokens settling against the specified benchmark at the end of the window; today’s 0% YES implies traders are not paying for any outcome they think is already in the money under the market’s current structure. The practical read is that the contract is behaving like a very low-confidence tail bet on whether Bitcoin touches the named price band before the settlement cut-off, rather than a broad view on Bitcoin’s longer-term direction.

Comparable price-prediction dashboards are still pointing to mid-2026 Bitcoin values in the mid-$60,000s, with CoinCodex estimating about $64,675 by 21 June 2026 and Changelly placing 21 June 2026 at roughly $63,905.15, which frames the market as close to spot rather than far from it[1][2]. That matters because Polymarket users are not trading a time-averaged forecast; they are trading the chance that the benchmark is hit under the contract’s exact rules, so modest moves can matter more than broad analyst targets.

The main catalysts are the usual spot-price drivers: ETF flow headlines, macro releases that move dollar liquidity, and any sharp move in the four-hour trend or key support zones. Recent forecast pages still describe Bitcoin as ranging around the low-to-mid $60,000s in late June, while Binance’s and CoinGecko’s prediction pages point to price levels clustered near current trading, underscoring how quickly this contract can flip if the market breaks out or rolls over[4][6]. Traders should also watch the benchmark source and timing closely, because the settlement window ends on 2026-06-22T04:00:00Z and the on-chain position resolves on that exact reference, not on a broad daily close[8].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.