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Total commitments for the RipCars public sale on MetaDAO

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Total commitments for the RipCars public sale on MetaDAO" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

>250k 100% >500k 100% >750k 100% >1M 100% Volume: $232K Liquidity: $853K Closes: 1 Sept 2026
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Total commitments for the RipCars public sale on MetaDAO

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Scam?) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Place a position →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Place a position →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Place a position →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Place a position →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Place a position →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
>250k100%
>500k100%
>750k100%
>1M100%
>2M100%
>3M100%
>4M100%
>5M100%
>6M100%
>7M100%
>8M100%
>9M100%
>10M100%
>12.5M99%
>15M97%
>17.5M84%
>20M79%
>22.5M66%
>25M43%
>27.5M32%
>30M19%
>35M16%
>40M13%
>50M9%
>60M6%
>70M5%
>80M2%
>90M2%
>100M1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Total commitments for the RipCars public sale on MetaDAO. This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the RipCars raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The reso…

Methodology

We track Total commitments for the RipCars public sale on MetaDAO across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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