Bitcoin price on June 20?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this Bitcoin-on-20-June contract at **0% YES** today, which means traders are effectively assigning no chance that the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at the market’s 12:00 ET reference point lands in the YES range. The market settles against Binance’s spot BTC/USDT candle close, not an aggregate index, so the key number is the exact 1-minute “Close” on Binance’s chart at noon ET, with the contract using USDC collateral and conditional tokens on Polygon for settlement and transfer. [5][8]

That zero bid is easiest to read against recent spot behaviour rather than long-run Bitcoin narratives. Binance showed BTC/USDT around **$63,913** on 19 June, while third-party historical data for 20 June put the day’s trading range in the mid-$63,000s, with the session opening near **$63,367** and closing around **$63,558** on Investing.com’s record. Binance’s own price-prediction page also described the near-term backdrop as bearish, noting a down-sloping 50-day moving average, which fits a market where traders may have been sceptical that price would reach a higher bracket at the settlement minute. [1][3][8]

For traders, the immediate catalysts are the ordinary ones that move a single-minute BTC print: U.S. macro releases, equity-session risk appetite, and any sharp flows around derivatives funding or liquidation cascades. Because the market resolves on Binance’s own 1-minute candle rather than a broader spot composite, thin liquidity or a sudden wick at 12:00 ET can matter more than the day’s broader trend; that is why the relevant watchlist is the Binance BTC/USDT chart itself, alongside any same-day headlines that hit crypto risk sentiment. [5][8][4]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.