Bitcoin price on May 28?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's noon ET price on 28 May 2026 will settle against the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at that specific timestamp. The current 0% YES probability reflects the market's assessment that Bitcoin will not trade within whatever price bracket the YES condition specifies—a detail absent from the market description provided. On Polymarket, this contract trades as a conditional token pair on Polygon, with USDC collateral backing both YES and NO positions. The extreme skew toward NO suggests either the YES bracket sits far outside plausible trading ranges or insufficient liquidity has formed to price realistic scenarios.

Historical Bitcoin price movements offer limited predictive power across a two-year horizon. May 2021 saw Bitcoin near $40,000 following a crash from $65,000; by May 2023, it had recovered to $27,000 amid banking sector turbulence; May 2024 prices hovered around $67,000 post-halving. These snapshots illustrate Bitcoin's volatility across similar calendar windows, with swings of 50% or more occurring between comparable dates. A 0% probability assignment suggests traders view the YES bracket as statistically implausible given historical distributions, though without the specific price range, the reasoning remains opaque.

Catalysts between now and settlement include Federal Reserve policy announcements, macroeconomic data releases, and regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency custody or trading. Bitcoin's correlation with equity markets and risk sentiment remains material; equity volatility spikes or credit events could drive significant repricing. Spot Bitcoin ETF flows in the US and institutional adoption trends will shape medium-term price discovery. Traders monitoring this contract should track Fed communications and broader financial stability indicators as primary drivers of Bitcoin's trajectory into May 2026.

Methodology

This page reviews Bitcoin price on May 28? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Scam? — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Scam?, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.