Bitcoin price on June 9?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The market settles on Bitcoin's closing price at noon ET on 9 June 2026, using the 1-minute candle from Binance's BTC/USDT pair. The 0% implied probability reflects the contract's current pricing on Polymarket, where USDC collateral backs conditional tokens on Polygon. Traders holding YES tokens profit only if Bitcoin closes within a specific price bracket at that exact timestamp; the mechanism requires precise settlement data from Binance's public API, with bracket resolution favouring the higher range if the price falls between two thresholds.

Weekly Bitcoin price contracts typically trade with minimal liquidity when settlement lies beyond two weeks, and this market's zero probability suggests either no active positions or consensus that the specified bracket lies outside realistic price expectations for mid-June 2026. Historical precedent shows Polymarket's Bitcoin weekly contracts cluster around current spot price ±5–8% ranges; extreme brackets (far above or below prevailing levels) routinely attract no trading volume. The contract's reliance on a single 1-minute candle introduces execution risk—flash volatility or brief exchange outages could create settlement disputes, though Binance's infrastructure typically handles such events without disruption.

Traders monitoring this contract should watch Bitcoin's macroeconomic catalysts: Federal Reserve policy signals, spot ETF inflows, and regulatory announcements from major jurisdictions. Geopolitical developments affecting risk appetite and technical levels near key moving averages (200-day, 50-day) often drive intraday volatility. The June settlement date falls outside any scheduled FOMC meetings or major cryptocurrency conference announcements currently on the calendar, reducing near-term event risk.

Methodology

We track Bitcoin price on June 9? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.