Bitcoin price on June 17?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's noon ET price on 17 June 2026 will settle against Binance's 1-minute BTC/USDT candle close at that specific timestamp. The market currently shows 0% implied probability, reflecting either extreme uncertainty about which price bracket will occur or a technical artefact of low liquidity. On Polymarket, this contract trades as a conditional token on Polygon, with positions denominated in USDC and backed by the underlying resolution mechanics tied to Binance's published data feed.

Historical Bitcoin price movements over comparable six-month windows reveal volatility clustering around macroeconomic events and regulatory announcements. During 2021's bull run, daily ranges exceeded $5,000; conversely, the 2022 bear market saw extended periods of consolidation. The current 0% probability suggests traders either lack conviction about the specific bracket outcomes or haven't yet priced in the contract's settlement mechanics. Previous Polymarket Bitcoin price contracts have typically concentrated liquidity around round numbers and technical support levels rather than evenly distributed brackets.

Traders monitoring this contract should track Federal Reserve policy signals, which historically correlate with risk-asset repricing, alongside any major cryptocurrency regulatory developments from the SEC or international bodies. Bitcoin's correlation with equity markets—particularly the Nasdaq—remains material; any significant equity volatility in early 2026 could shift medium-term price expectations. Additionally, on-chain metrics such as exchange inflows and miner capitulation patterns often precede price discovery, making these data points worth observing as June approaches.

Methodology

We track Bitcoin price on June 17? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Scam? is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Scam??

Zero. Polymarket Scam? routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Scam? triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.